Race-by-Race preview with Neil Evans

*******AIRBORNE ALBURY PREVIEW******

with NEIL EVANS

 

Albury Racing Club

Thursday Apr 17, 2025

 

Day 2 of the Showcase Carnival

for the $200K Listed Commercial

Club Albury Gold Cup meeting

 

*Home of the Very Best Border Battles

 

Fallon St, NORTH ALBURY, NSW

PH: (02) 6025 1333

 

Check out all the great race day

options & hospitality packages @

www.alburyracing.com.au

E: info@alburyracing.com.au

@AlburyRacing

 

+Gates Open @ 12.30pm

+1st Race @ 1.35pm

+Track Good 4 & Rail True:

 

*RACE 1 @ 1.35pm DLG ALUMINIUM  & GLAZING COUNTRY BOOSTED CLASS 3 HCP (1500m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 1. VILLASAURUS (Donna Scott/Blaike McDougall; 62.5kg & barrier 3) -we open the rescheduled & feature Gold Cup day meeting with a competitive middle distance affair for this class on a firm surface. Can’t go past this smart & still improving locally-trained 4YO by Villermont peaking off a near 7 week freshen-up from an ideal gate, with the blinkers coming off. Careered away to win a tougher CL3 Highway at Rosehill early last November before running home into a place against similar Highway opposition 4 weeks later on a heavy surface. Spelled before returning via 2 easy trials up to 1200m; then finished only a length from the winner fresh in a Country C’ship Qualifier at Wagga in early March; and after the initial Cup day wash-out has been kept right up to the mark with a sound trial win at Wagga. Naturally up in weight coming back to this class, but drawn to find the right trail near the speed, he emerges as the one to beat

 

MAIN DANGERS: 2. *Future Fund; 4. **Exceedingly Hot; 5. *Just Like Liam; 6. *Downtown’s Abbey

 

Likely Tempo: Reasonable to Solid

My BET PLAN: VILLSAURUS to WIN & Trifecta: 1,4/1,2,4,5,6/1,2,4,5,6

 

*RACE 2 @ 2.10pm NAUGHTIN DEVELOPMENT GROUP FLAT KNACKER (900m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 6. RUMOURS ABOUND (Ron Stubbs/Harry Coffey; 55.5kg & barrier 5) another exciting albeit smaller renewal this year in the short course showdown; and nothing looks better placed than this talented & locally-trained 5YO mare by Group 1 winner Press Statement coming back from deeper metropolitan company. Was dominant winning a BM 82 feature at Wagga back on Australia Day before failing to get the right run in a much tougher BM 78 field at Randwick. Again had little or no luck from well back in a BM 70 at The Valley before being given a 5 week break; and a solid return from off the speed in a very handy BM 78 lineup at Warwick Farm. Has a 30 percent win rate from 16 starts; and surely the best treated in the race only half kilo over the minimum wright and getting back on dryer ground

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. *Sparring; 2. **Fangela

 

Likely Tempo: Good to Strong

My BET PLAN: RUMOURS ABOUND to WIN & Quinella: 2 and 6

 

*RACE 3 @ 2.50pm TONKIN GROUP SUPER MAIDEN PLATE (1175m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 6. MONTE VEEBEE (Robert & Luke Price/Blaike McDougall; 58.5kg & barrier 4) -back with the maidens at set weights; and settled clearly on this provincial-based 3YO by prolific sire Snitzel peaking 2nd-up as a gelding & with blinkers going on. Was never far away in four metropolitan runs last prep, including a close 2nd at Warwick Farm behind the very handy El Castello. Returned behind 2 forward trials; and missed narrowly in a handy Super Maiden on the Kensington track at Randwick after being backed from $2.70 into $2.15. Drawn to find a handy trail just off the speed; and the little drop back in trip is more than off-set getting onto a bigger track with plenty of time to balance up in the straight & run over them

 

MAIN DANGERS: 4. *Barrelling; 12. *Dubai Darling

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My BET PLAN: MONTEE VEEBEE to WIN

 

*RACE 4 @ 3.25pm ALLURE LASH & BEAUTY CLASS 2 HCP (1000m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 5. ONE HARD LADY (Donna Scott/Blaike McDougall; 57kg & barrier 3) an improving class of sprinter locks horns here; but this unbeaten 3YO home track filly by Group 1 winner All Too Hard rates clear on top aiming to make it 3 from 3. Came off a dominant trial win to thrash her opposition in a handy maiden at this track 4 weeks ago; then took the next step at Gundagai sweeping home to win a CL1 with plenty in hand. Hasn’t put a foot wrong yet; and this looks right in her zone from a draw where she can again stalk the speed with cover. Headed for much bigger targets

 

MAIN DANGERS: 2. *Runranirun; 4. *Brial Rose

 

Likely Tempo: Good to Strong

My BET PLAN: ONE HARD LADY to WIN & Quinella: 2 and 5

 

*RACE 5 @ 4.05pm LEXUS OF WODONGA BENCHMARK 74 HCP (1400m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 8. DAZE OFF (Donna Scott/Alysha Collett; 57kg & barrier 9) -the higher graded gallopers now; and keen to back a locally-trained & sparingly raced 4YO mare by Starcraft despite climbing back up in grade 3rd-up. Was in the money in similar class fields here last spring before dropping out late in a tougher Saturday CL3 Highway at Kembla. Given an easy trial 2 months back; she returned with a solid closing effort in a smarter BM 82 over 1200m at Wagga run in good time before dropping back for an easy kill at short odds in BM 58 company 18 days ago. Naturally this is tougher; but she’s at the peak of her power; and loves the long stretch here where she can get to the outside at the top of the lane

 

MAIN DANGERS: 4. *Champions League; 5. **Myrtle Myrtle; 6. *Persian Dancer; 7. *Nats Enough

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My BET PLAN: DAZE OFF to WIN & First Four: 5,8/4,5,6,7,8/4,5,6,7,8/4,5,6,7,8

 

*RACE 6 @ 4.40pm COMMERCIAL CLUB ALBURY – ‘BIg Dance Eligibility’ – LISTED ALBURY GOLD CUP (2000m) – Quality; Min Weight 54kg; Apprentices Cannot Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 6. MATUSALEM (Chris Waller/Reece Jones; 55kg & barrier 14) -now for the feature & non-claiming Gold Cup at Listed Level with a spot in the rich ‘Big Dance’ at Randwick in spring up for grabs. Naturally, very little separates the leading contenders in a wide race; but very content to back this tough & fit 4YO by Group 1 superstar The Autumn Sun who is primed to peak back on a track he will relish. Kept improving from well off speed in a string of runs at BM 88 level in Sydney before being ridden quieter in the Listed Canberra Cup over this distance & powering home against the pattern to be only beaten a head. Then got home well after doing plenty of early work from the  gate in the Group 3 Easter Cup at Caulfield; and the 12 day back-up is a positive sign from the leading stable. Well treated under the Quality conditions here only 1kg over the minimum weight; and only needs to find some cover from the tricky draw

 

MAIN DANGERS: 4. *Redstone Well; 9. *Medatsu; 13. *My Brother’s Keeper; 14. *Bianco Villano

 

Likely Tempo: Reasonable

My BET PLAN: MATUSALEM Each Way

 

*RACE 7 @ 5.20pm CARLTON DRAUGHT BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1175m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 6. HOLLERLOUD (David O’Prey/Brendan Ward; 60kg & barrier 6) -very testing closer for the restricted sprinters; but settled on this progressive & lightly raced 4YO by Holler who can claim a 2nd consecutive win at only his 5th start. Led for a long way when resuming off a near 5 month spell at Corowa in what quickly proved a handy form race before a dominant win over 1200m at Wagga, running solid splits from barrier to box. The dry ground is a big key; and the trip is right up his alley too.

 

MAIN DANGERS: 2. **Prophet’s Daughter; 4. *Schimmelbusch; 7. **Magic Leprechaun

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My BET PLAN: HOLLERLOUD to WIN & Box Exacta: 2,6,7

 

**My BEST EARLY  BETS:

 

R3 6. MONTEE VEEBEE** Approx Market: $1.85 – $1.95; My Rating: $1.50

R5 8. DAZE OFF** Approx Market: $3.25 – $3.40; My Ratings: $2.05

 

**My BEST EARLY VALUE:

 

R7 6. HOLLERLOUD** Approx Market: $7.00 – $8.00; My Ratings Band: $3.85

 

**My BEST EARLY EXOTICS:

 

R2 Quinella: 2 & 6

R4 Quinella: 2 & 5

 

GOOD LUCK

@NeilEvansmail

 

Next Meeting:

Thursday Apr 24; 2025

#AirborneAlbury