Race-by-Race preview with Neil Evans

*******AIRBORNE ALBURY PREVIEW******

with NEIL EVANS

 

Albury Racing Club

Monday Jul 08, 2024

TAB Winter Race Day

 

*Home of the Very Best Border Battles

 

Fallon St, NORTH ALBURY, NSW

PH: (02) 6025 1333

 

Check out all the race day options @

www.alburyracing.com.au

E: info@alburyracing.com.au

@AlburyRacing

 

+Gates Open @ 11.30am

+Free Admission

+1st Race @ 12.25pm

+Track likely Soft 7 & Rail out +5m from 1100m to 350m & +3.5m the Remainder; Cut/Away Applies:

 

*RACE 1 @ 12.25pm WODONGA SPRING WORKS COUNTRY BOOSTED CLASS 1 HCP (1000m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:  

 

TOP SELECTION: 1. MISS BELGIUM (Norm Gardner/Mathew Cahill; 59kg & barrier 3)We start with a very competitive sprint for this class & an improving 3YO filly by all conditions & Golden Slipper-winning sire Capitalist can strike here 2nd-up in what should prove to be a robust betting race. Dropped out a long way when resuming on a Heavy 9 surface after drifting in betting, but fitter now & much better suited on the bigger track, especially if the surface improves comfortably into soft range. Drawn to get nice cover just off the speed

 

MAIN DANGERS: 2. *Just Google Me; 3. **Spirit Lake; 4. *Impending Love; 5. *Marantelli Miss

 

Likely Tempo: Solid to Good

My BET PLAN: MISS BELGIUM to WIN & First Four: 1,3/1,2,3,4,5/1,2,3,4,5/1,2,3,4,5

 

*RACE 2 @ 1.05pm DLG ALUMINIUM & GLAZING MAIDEN PLATE (900m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 1. BLACK PANTHER (Peter Maher/Simon Miller; 59kg & barrier 1) -back to the short course now for the maidens, and in a race lacking real depth; this lightly raced Wodonga 3YO by Ocean Emperor is ideally placed 2nd-up from the inside barrier. Was only fair to the line after settling on speed when resuming over the border; but was backed from $4.60 into $3.60 that day, and fitter now, he can dictate here over a shorter journey. Bred to thrive in this sort of going.

 

MAIN DANGERS: 2. *Ditterrich; 7. *Bernay; 10. *Limb Runner

 

Likely Tempo: Good

My BET PLAN: BLACK PANTHER to WIN & Trifecta: 1/2,7,10/2,7,10

 

*RACE 3 @ 1.40pm DUX ALBURY COUNTRY BOOSTED MAIDEN PLATE (1175m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim: 

 

TOP SELECTION: 11. O’HELLYEAH (Todd Smart/Mathew Cahill; 55kg & barrier 4) -intriguing betting affair here with a few key debutants on show; and one of them, a 2YO Canberra-based filly by renowned sprint sire Hellbent can start with a bang. Has been reportedly working well, and rates on top in a race with solid depth & several chances. Starts her career in blinkers behind a solid trial on Soft 7 ground from which the winner then bolted in on debut at Goulburn last Friday. Bred to handle all going being out of a Snitzel mare

 

MAIN DANGERS: 2. *Bonnyville; 4. *Jedinak; 5. *Liquor Talk; 10. **Light Foot

 

Likely Tempo: Reasonable to Solid

My BET PLAN: O’HELLYEAH to WIN & Trifecta: 10,11/2,4,5,10,11/2,4,5,10,11

 

*RACE 4 @ 2.15pm XMAS PARTY MARQUEES ON SALE NOW MAIDEN HCP (1400m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 1. VIA VEGAS (Craig Weeding/Logan McNeil; 60kg & barrier 3) -still with the maidens, and despite being asked to carry 60kg, this Wangaratta-based 3YO by underrated sire Boulder City is well placed to break through 4th-up, and significantly on a 7 day turnaround. Missed out narrowly at Corowa last start after tracking the speed, and will relish getting on to a bigger track. Reliable weight carrier who is drawn to roll forward & take up a nice striking position right behind the speed

 

MAIN DANGERS: 6. *Stage Master; 7. *Angel Of Spring; 12. *Sweet Paree

 

Likely Tempo: Reasonable

My BET PLAN: VIA VEGAS to WIN

 

*RACE 5 @ 2.50pm HABITAT PLANNING CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (1600m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 6. RISING WATER (Ron Stubbs/Jason Lyon; 57.5kg & barrier 2) -competitive contest over the mile at set weights, and it shapes best for this talented home track 3YO by Group 1-winning sprinter Headwater who can make it 2 wins from his last 3 a month between runs. Swept home from midfield to win his maiden over the border 2 starts ago before again hitting the line from further back in a similar race when an easing favourite. Can park a bit closer this time from a low draw, and with a clear passage from the turn, he has the superior closing sectionals, and the more the track dries out the better served he is

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. *Mount Hotham; 3. *Star Blazer; 4. *The Woke Waiter  7. **Slate Ripper

 

Likely Tempo: Fair to Reasonable

My BET PLAN: RISING WATER to WIN & Trifecta: 6,7/1,3,4,6,7/1,3,4,6,7

 

*RACE 6 @ 3.25pm NORTH ALBURY TYREPOWER BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1500m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 1. COOEE (Ron Stubbs/Mathew Cahill; 62.5kg & barrier 4) -handy line-up for this grade, and despite rising 4kg to a very hefty 62.5kg, this lightly raced and progressive home track 5YO by Holler can stretch his unbeaten record to 3. Finished best to beat a good maiden field here on debut when not having the easiest of runs before saluting again at Cl1 level despite doing some work early to get across from a wide gate. Better draw here can see him park right behind the speed, and he is capable of sustaining a finishing burst from a fair way out

 

MAIN DANGERS: 2. **Tiszo Fab; 3. **Nats Enough; 4. *Bonvalente; 6. *Oimbari; 8. *Wagunda

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My BET PLAN: COOEE to WIN & Box Exacta: 1,2,3 & Box Trifecta: 1,2,3,4

 

*RACE 7 @ 4.05pm SODENS HOTEL FILLIES & MARES BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1175m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 11. RELEASE THE  BRAKES (Ben, Will & JD Hayes/Lachlan King; 59kg & barrier 9) -the girl sprinters lock horns here in one of the most open races on the program; yet this underrated & improving 4YO Victorian mare by Toronado can cause an upset peaking 4th-up & coming back in distance. Did her best work late in two runs over the border before a fair closing effort here without much luck in transit behind a smart CL1 winner. Will drift back from the gate and be saved up for one big surge from the 350m

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. **Dreamwoman; 2. **Toronto Rain; 5. *Dalroshio; 6. *Little Miss Grace; 7. *Big Impact

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My BET PLAN: RELEASE THE BRAKES to WIN & First Four: 1,2,11/1,2,5,6,7,11/1,2,5,6,7,11/1,2,5,6,7,11

 

*RACE 8 @ 4.40pm ALBURY PLUMBING SERVICE COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1175m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 6. HE’S MY WARRIOR (Ron Stubbs/Jason Lyon; 61kg & barrier 11) -we close the big meeting with boys edition, and while it’s just as open, this tough & ultra honest local 3YO by dual Group 1 winner Hallowed Crown can finally snap a run of 4 straight placings following the same pattern as the previous on top selection whom he beat home into 2nd here a fortnight ago. Prior to that & before switching stables, had twice finished strongly into a place up to much tougher BM 64 provincial level. Despite dropping back in trip, should get enough speed up front to allow him to tuck in around midfield before producing a sustained finish from the 350m

 

MAIN DANGERS: 3. *Gundaroo; 7. *Hurricane Thunder; 9. **Zipitalist; 10. *Philadelphia Storm; 14. *Tycoon Artie

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My BET PLAN: HE’S MY WARRIOR to WIN & Quinella: 6 and 9

 

**My BEST EARLY  BETS:

 

R2 1. BLACK PANTHER** Approx: $3.25 – $3.60; My Early Rating: $2.15

R5 6. RISING WATER** Approx: $4.00 – $4.10; My Early Rating: $2.36

R6 1. COOEE* Approx: $3.25 – $3.50; My Early Rating: $2.30

 

**My BEST EARLY VALUE:

 

R5 6. HE’S MY WARRIOR** Approx: $4.50 – $5.00; My Early Rating: $2.75

 

**My BEST EARLY EXOTICS:

 

R3 Trifecta: 10,11/2,4,5,10,11/2,4,5,10,11

R5 Trifecta: 6,7/1,3,4,6,7/1,3,4,6,7

 

GOOD LUCK

@NeilEvansmail

 

Next Meeting:

Monday Jul 29; 2024

 

AIRBORNE

ALBURY

 

RACING!