Race-by-Race preview with Neil Evans

*******AIRBORNE ALBURY PREVIEW******

with NEIL EVANS

 

Albury Racing Club

Friday May 10, 2024

TAB Autumn Race Day

 

*Home of the Very Best Border Battles

 

Fallon St, NORTH ALBURY, NSW

PH: (02) 6025 1333

 

Check out all the race day options @

www.alburyracing.com.au

E: info@alburyracing.com.au

@AlburyRacing

 

*Gates Open @ 11.30am

*1st Race @ 12.24pm

*Track Good 4 & Rail True

 

*RACE 1 @ 12.24pm HIB INSURANCE COUNTRY BOOSTED MAIDEN PLATE (1400m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 3. DANCER ONE (Gary Colvin/Danny Beasley; 59kg & barrier 5) -we open another potentially strong form meeting with a fairly moderate maiden at set weights on a track that may just slip back into soft territory if forecast showers arrive. Very keen to back this still emerging 4YO by Super One 5th-up in his 1st prep. Sat on speed and was narrowly beaten in consecutive outings in and around this distance before failing to run home at Wagga from the wide gate when it was hard to make up ground. Less depth in this, draws to get a better run in transit, and a stronger & more experienced jockey takes over

 

MAIN DANGERS: 5. *Flying Dubawi; 7. *Mount Hotham; 11. *Bridget Rose

 

Likely Tempo: Reasonable to Solid

My BET PLAN: DANCER ONE to WIN

 

*RACE 2 @ 12.59pm JOHNSONS MME FILLIES & MARES MAIDEN HCP (1175m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 7. TENECA REIGN (Donna Scott/Ms Amy O’Driscoll a4kg; 52.5kg & barrier 1) -now for the maiden girls coming back in distance, and it stacks up nicely for this improving 3YO home track filly by black type mile winner Galah who is primed to start her 2nd full prep with a bang. Showed enough in her 1st campaign late last year; backed from $4.20 into $3.20 here when doing her best work late right on the placegetters’ heels before again settling midfield and finishing okay when pushed out to 1400m as a heavily backed favourite; then spelled. Given she’s bred to get further and naturally settles back off the speed, this looks a lovely 1st-up trip. She’s drawn to get an economical run from the inside, carrying a postage stamp weight after the 4kg claim; and most of the opposition have poor records

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. **No Dixie; 10. *Shipshewana

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My BET PLAN: TENECA REIGN to WIN & Quinella: 1 and 7

 

*RACE 3 @ 1.34pm ATM HERE COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES MAIDEN HCP (1175m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim: 

 

TOP SELECTION: 9. THE CUBAN (Dan McCarthy/Ms Hannah Edgley a0kg; 58kg & barrier 7) -now for a more competitive & open boys edition; and in a race of many chances; like the placement at the value of this honest Victorian 3YO by prolific speed sire Rubick deep into his 2nd prep. Beat all bar the winner earlier in the campaign before being ridden quieter in heavy ground at Wagga and hitting the line late. Went back over the border 13 days ago & was taken to the front from a wide gate at Kyneton, and stuck on okay after being challenged early in the straight. Hard fit and back a fraction in trip is the recipe to break through, and clearly at his best on top of the ground

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. *Sheetice; 2. **Final Crack; 6. *Secret Edge; 8. *Magicholler; 10. **Tycoon Artie; 12. *Show Secrets; 13. *Rich Dispute

 

Likely Tempo: Solid to Good

My BET PLAN: THE CUBAN Each Way & First Four: 2,9,10/1,2,6,8,9,10,12,13/1,2,6,8,9,10,12,13/1,2,6,8,9,10,12,13

 

*RACE 4 @ 2.09pm HABITAT PLANNING COUNTRY BOOSTED CLASS 1 HCP (1175m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 5. IMPOSING TALLULAH (Donna Scott/Danny Beasley; 56kg & barrier 11) -staying at the distance here for the lower class improvers; and like this lightly raced & progressive 3YO local filly by Reward For Effort who can go back-to-back despite drawing 2nd from the outside. Knocked up after doing work to find the front when resuming at Wagga; but improved sharply to cruise home leading in a similar race to this here 25 days ago as a heavily backed favourite. Reloads now with a 2kg weight drop for the rise in class; & only needs to get over without burning too much gas to be the one to beat. Always shown promise and bred to get further

 

MAIN DANGERS: 2. **Kaida Blaze; 3. *Saint Loft; 4. *Box Of Crackers; 6. *Lady Revolution

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My BET PLAN: IMPOSING TALLULAH TO WIN & Trifecta: 2,5/2,3,4,5,6/2,3,4,5,6

 

*RACE 5 @ 2.44pm MEREDITH ROOF PLUMBING CLASS 1 HCP (1000m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 2. ZIPITALIST (Mitchell Beer/Jack Martin; 58kg & barrier 1) -Same class of galloper lock horns here over the 5 furlong dash; and plenty to like about this steadily improving provincial-based 3YO by 2016 Golden Slipper winner Capitalist who is well placed to claim a 2nd career win 3rd-up & staying at the short course. Ran home okay when resuming off a lengthy break at Canberra before an almost repeat effort into a place in a slightly deeper CL1 affair at Goulburn. Hits peak fitness now, and drawn to do no work from the fence draw, he can settle just in behind & be saved up for one final charge from the 300m. Prefers dry ground

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. *Babalola; 3. *Monsoon Reins; 4. **Champagne Sharon; 5. **Smuggler’s Angel; 8. *Katie Express

 

Likely Tempo: Good to Strong

My BET PLAN: ZIPATILIST to WIN & Box Exacta: 2,4,5

 

*RACE 6 @ 3.19pm BOSS BETTER LIVING SYSTEMS CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (1600m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 16. MAYFAIR HOTEL (Wayne Carroll/Jake Duffy; 55kg & barrier 16) -back out to the mile we go; and keen to back this progressive 4YO mare by 2014 Cox Plate winner Adelaide who is primed to peak 3rd-up in her 2nd prep & staying over the distance. Hit the line hard from well back, resuming here over 1500m before again doing his best work late from a mile back in a CL1 at Wagga. Will again drift well back from the wide draw, but there looks to be enough speed on to allow him to grab a trail from the half mile and be taken to the middle of the course past the 400m

 

MAIN DANGERS: 3. *Ruff; 10. *Sergeant Mavers; 12. *Clearedhot; 13. **Major Desire

 

Likely Tempo: Reasonable to Solid

My BET PLAN: MAYFAIR HOTEL Each Way & Quinella: 13 and 16

 

*RACE 7 @ 3.59pm MEMBERS ALBURY SPRINT CLASSIC OPEN HCP (1000m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 8. CONTROVERSIAL MISS (Craig Weeding/Ms Alysha warren a2kg; 53kg & barrier 5) -now for the feature sprint on the program over the flying 5 furlongs, and it presents beautifully for this tough front-running 5YO Victorian mare by dual Group 1 winner Dissident resuming via a smart trial win at Bendigo. Has built a very tidy 23 percent win rate from 32 starts; and won back-to-back NSW country races in higher BM grade last prep. Well treated at the weights after the jockey’s 2kg claim; drawn to roll forward and find the top; and looks ready to rock in a suitable sprint

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. *Boss Lady Rocks; 2. *Mr Moppett; 5. *Smuggler’s Bay; 7. *Vella Magic; 18. *Nipotino

 

Likely Tempo: Good

My BET PLAN: CONTROVERSIAL MISS Each Way & Box Exacta: 1,2,8

 

*RACE 8 @ 4.39pm PLUS FITNESS THURGOONA BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1500m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 3. TIZSO FAB (Donna Scott/Nick Heywood; 61kg & barrier 4) we close the meeting with an even-rated restricted middle distance affair, and confident this home track Astern 4YO can peak big time; reaching this trip on a sharp 7 day turnaround 3rd-up. Worked home okay when resuming here in a more than handy Class 2 before just plain to the line in deeper carnival company at Wagga after doing it tough from the wide barrier. Drawn to get a far more economical run this time with cover over a suitable 200m further; and naturally finds a race with less depth

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. *Char; 4. **Chaotic Beauty; 6. *Keith; 8. *Great Week

 

Likely Tempo: Solid

My BET PLAN: TIZSO FAB to WIN & Quinella: 3 and 4

 

**My BEST EARLY  BETS:

 

R2 7. TENECA REIGN**

R8 3. TIZSO FAB**

 

**My BEST EARLY VALUE:

 

R7 8. CONTROVERSIAL MISS*

 

**My BEST EARLY EXOTICS:

 

R2 **QUINELLA: 1 & 7

 

GOOD LUCK

@NeilEvansmail

 

Next Meeting:

Monday May 20; 2024

 

AIRBORNE

ALBURY

RACING!