****AIRBORNE ALBURY PREVIEW****
with NEIL EVANS
Albury Racing Club
Tuesday Jul 13, 2021
Home of the Best Border Battles
Full TAB Meeting
*Gates open at 11.30am
1st Race @ 12.30pm
ALL races carry a BOBS Silver Bonus up to $9,625.00
*Track Heavy 9 & Rail out +6m from 1600m to 300m into a Cut/Away:
*RACE 1 @ 12.30pm BORDER BANDAG TYRE SERVICE MAIDEN HCP (1175m) – Min Weight 57kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
We kick off with the maiden sprinters on a track that will likely stay in heavy range. Very keen on two-year-old Canberra gelding 4. KELVEDON ROAD (Todd Smart/Damon Budler a2kg; 56.5kg) who resumes as a gelding off a nice heavy track trial at Gundagai. Debuted behind high class carnival filly Pretty Woman in summer when specked at a price, and he’s bred to relish these conditions.
*MAIN DANGERS: Locally-trained two-year-old colt 1. Scarlet Prince went under narrowly on debut at Gundagai as an easing favourite, and despite a weight rise, can go close with that experience and back at home. Rival home track filly 2. Black Lavender was okay on debut over the border in a slightly deeper maiden, and can also improve returning home with a significant jockey change.
Likely Tempo: Solid
My Betting Attack: KELVEDON ROAD to WIN & Quinella: 1 and 4
*RACE 2 @ 1.05pm NAUGHTIN DEVELOPMENT GROUP FILLIES & MARES BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1175m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
Got plenty of timefor progressive and lightly raced local three-year-old 2. SUNRISE RUBY (Mitchell Beer/Richard Bensley; 61.5kg) who was impressive first-up off a long break here surging home from well back to beat a similar field. Given four weeks since then, and boasts the right profile being by stand-out wet track sire Casino Prince.
*MAIN DANGERS: The stand-out threat is Victorian three-year-old 1. Mescaminto who only got going late in a stronger metro BM 64 at Sandown following a dominant maiden win. Up sharply to 61.5kg, but her form cannot be knocked in this grade with the leading regional jockey aboard. Gap to the rest headed by his stablemate five-year-old 3. Volere who is hard fit after sailing home to win a similar race at Echuca; while included in exotics, eight-year-old 9. Enconti who rises in grade, but drops in weight.
Likely Tempo: Fair to Solid
My Betting Attack: SUNRISE RUBY to WIN & Quinella: 1 and 2
*RACE 3 @ 1.40pm AVIS CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (1600m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:
Expecting the Beer yard to be shouting again here with tough Sebring five-year-old 2. SYDNEY BLUE (Mitchell Beer/Nick Souquet; 59kg) who is primed to end a long run of placings third-up. Charged home under a big weight in a weaker race first-up at Narrandera before floundering late when ridden in front last time on a bog track. Suspect they’ll settle back off the speed this time, and with a 2kg weight drop and much stronger rider aboard, he’s the one to beat.
*MAIN DANGERS: Improving Canberra filly 9. Lady Of Fortune has been working home okay in some deeper races. Well treated only half kilo over the limit third-up, and can run the quinella. Victorian three-year-old 6. Nuclear Energy can improve sharply back in grade and getting off the synthetic.
Likely Tempo: Fair
My Betting Attack: SYDNEY BLUE to WIN & Quinella: 2 and 9
*RACE 4 @ 2.20pm BARLENS COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1175m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
The males edition of this race is far more open and tricky, with likely good speed on. That said, it sets up nicely second-up for under-rated local four-year old 3. SEVENTH SEAL (Mitchell Beer/Nick Souquet; 61.5kg) who charged home late resuming at Wagga. Much more experienced and stronger rider takes over here, and he’s already a heavy track winner.
*MAIN DANGERS: Lightly racedVictorian five-year-old 4. Last Hope hasn’t raced for seven months and no public trials, but comes to hand quickly and best form is clearly on the fresh side. Another border-hopper six-year-old 2. O’Reg was well beaten in a stronger race at Bendigo, but still well over the odds in this grade, and three runs back produced a gallant CL1 win here weaving late between traffic. Big market watch on Outreach three-year-old 8. Claptone in his first run for the new Wangaratta stable since switching from the NSW Far North Coast where his form was consistent in similar company. Improving Canberra four-year-old 10. Underthespotlight will enjoy the extra ground third-up; while rival Canberra six-year-old 11. Romeo Vella can be included in wider exotics.
Likely Tempo: Good to Strong
My Betting Attack: SEVENTH SEAL Each Way & First Four: 2,3,4,8/2,3,4,8,10/2,3,4,8,10,11/2,3,4,8,10,11
*RACE 5 @ $2.55pm BOSS BETTER LIVING SYSTEMS MAIDEN HCP (1400m) – Min Weight 55.5kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
Home track Proisir three-year-old 1. FORSUREUSAY (Mitchell Beer/Jordan Mallyon; 59kg) was very sound debutingon a heavy track behind a couple of youngsters who will win plenty of races. Had won two previous trials prior, and is better served over a bit more ground and drawn to get to the middle of the track.
*MAIN DANGERS: Victorian three-year-old 5. If You Say So has worked home okay in his last couple either side of the border. Draws to get a nice trail off the speed, and is also looking for this trip. Big market watch on ex-Kiwi and Shocking three-year-old filly 4. Kimmy Be Cool who hasn’t started since being beaten a long way in the Group 3 SA Classic mid-May. Now based in Victoria, and naturally will be getting home late.
Likely Tempo: Solid
My Betting Attack: FORSUREUSAY to WIN
*RACE 6 @ 3.35pm ACE RADIO 2AY CLASS 1 HCP (1000m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
Open and very testing sprint. Like progressive Victorian four-year-old 2. SUNSHINE MOSHE (Gerald Egan/Jordan Mallyon; 59.5kg) whohas to overcome the outside barrier, but has beaten all bar the winner in his last two here, and relishes wet ground. A month between runs is typical of his prep pattern, and already a proven weight carrier over the sprint journeys.
*MAIN DANGERS: Progressive Queanbeyan and former NZ filly 5. Autobahn has been freshened up since a dominant maiden win from off the speed at Moruya. Has enough ability, and is a pure wet track performer. Improving Wangaratta filly 3. Redneck Princess has only one win from 14, but placed a further seven times including twice at this track, and also loves rain-affected ground. Keep safe Victorian mare 6. Little Miss Grace who finished best here in heavy going two runs back before having little luck at Bendigo. Draws to get a nice trail, but taking on some smarter ones.
Likely Tempo: Good
My Betting Attack: SUNSHINE MOSHE Each Way & Trifecta: 2,5/2,3,5,6/2,3,5,6
*RACE 7 @ 4.10pm BAXTERS CONCRETE BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1500m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:
Smart home track four-year-old 3. PACKER’S BOND (Mitchell Beer/Richard Bensley; 61kg) is right at his top, and finds an easiest assignment third-up. Ran home late in the Corowa Cup before a break, then charged home from a mile back in a handy CL2, and again did his best work late without much luck in a Highway at Randwick. Naturally back up sharply in weight, but he’s ultra reliable in the ground, and has a real class edge on this lot.
*MAIN DANGERS: Improving Wangaratta five-year-old 5. Okra drops back in distance and down in weight after surging home to win a weaker race at Wagga. Keep safe 1. Willybeafactor who drops in grade, and has a 50 percent win record from eight starts on soft ground.
Likely Tempo: Fair to Solid
My Betting Attack: PACKER’S BOND to WIN
**My BEST EARLY BETS:
R2 2. SUNRISE RUBY** Expect: $3.00 – $3.50; My Early Rating: $2.10
R3 2. SYDNEY BLUE** Expect: $2.10 – $2.25; My Early Rating: $1.80
R7 3. PACKER’S BOND** Expect: $2.05 – $2.10; My Early Rating: $1.65
**My BEST EARLY VALUE:
R5 1. FORSUREUSAY* Expect: $4.25 – $4.50; My Early Rating: $2.80
**My BEST EARLY EXOTICS:
R2: ***Quinella: 1 and 2
R6: *Trifecta: 2,5/2,3,5,6/2,3,5,6
**TRAINERS TO FOLLOW:
Mitchell Beer****
**JOCKEYS TO FOLLOW:
Nick Souquet**
Richard Bensley**
Jordan Mallyon*
GOOD LUCK
@NeilEvansmail
ALBURY RACING
#BestBorderBattles
Next Meeting:
Tuesday Aug 17, 2021