Race-by-Race preview with Neil Evans

****AIRBORNE ALBURY PREVIEW****

with NEIL EVANS

 

Albury Racing Club

Monday May 23, 2022

Home of the Best Border Battles

 

Full TAB Meeting

 

ALL races carry a BOBS Silver Bonus up to $9,625.00

 

Fallon St, NORTH ALBURY, NSW

PH: (02) 6025 1333

 

Check out all the race day options @

www.alburyracing.com.au

E: info@alburyracing.com.au

@AlburyRacing

 

*Gates Open @ 12.00 noon

Entry FREE

 

*1st Race @ 12.30pm

*Track likely improving to Soft 6 & Rail out 5m from 1500m to 350m where cutaway applies

 

*RACE 1 @ 12.30pm KIEWA VALLEY SPRINGWATER MAIDEN PLATE (905m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 1. INCENTIVE (Donna Scott/Simon Miller; 59kg & barrier 7) We start with a rapid fire short course sprint, and ready to launch into this home track three-year-old by Golden Slipper winner and prolific sire Capitalist, resuming behind a dominant heavy track trial win. Only previous run disappointed as a short-priced fancy on Australia Day, but stable has given him time and was recently scratched from a very winnable race to be saved for this

 

MAIN DANGERS: 4. *Falreine; 6. *Penny Stocks; 9. **Stunning Sunrise

 

Likely Tempo: Good to Strong

My BET PLAN: INCENTIVE to WIN & STUNNING SUNRISE Each Way

 

*RACE 2 @ 1.05pm SURDEX STEEL ALBURY MAIDEN HCP (1410m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 9. DIAMONDSANDPEARLS (Ben Brisbourne/Ms Hannah Le Blanc a3kg; 52.5kg & barrier 10) -Not as easy assessment for the maidens over further, but confident this improving 4YO Wangaratta mare can finally break through fourth-up in her 12th start. Much better suited on the slowly drying surface after floundering late here in Heavy 10 going 10 days ago, and best weighted runner in the race after the rider’s 3kg claim

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. *Almandra; 3. *Cellar Champ; 6. **La Quinta Donna; 12. *Redhair’n’freckles

 

Likely Tempo: Reasonable

My BET PLAN: DIAMONDSANDPEARLS to WIN & Trifecta: 6,9/1,3,6,9,12/1,3,6,9,12

 

*RACE 3 @ 1.40pm REDI2HIRE ALBURY MAIDEN PLATE (1182m) – Set Weights; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 5. WAR DOG (Ben Brisbourne/Ms Hannah Edgley a2kg; 57kg & barrier 8) It doesn’t get any easier here, with several strong hopes, headed by this one hopping the border for the first time, and stablemate to the previous on top selection. Tough and improving 3YO who can strike fourth-up in his first proper prep. Was ridden quieter 16 days ago at Donald when backed from $9.00 into $5.50, hitting the line hard after working through traffic. Suited on the bigger track and longer straight here, and significantly was preferred here to his home track meeting on Sunday

 

MAIN DANGERS: 3. *Greek Tycoon; 7. *Kappy’s Angel; 12. *Lunar Shoes

 

Likely Tempo: Solid to Good

My BET PLAN: WAR DOG to WIN & Box Trifecta: 3,5,7,12

 

*RACE 4 @ 2.15pm CHOICES WODONGA BENCHMARK 58 HCP  (1182m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 2. CHAIRMAN’S CHOICE (Andrew Dale/Ms Hannah Edgley a2kg; 60kg & barrier 7) -Yet another big contender from over the border, this power finishing Wangaratta 6YO hasn’t won for a while, but steadily this prep has been charging back to his best. Motored late to miss by a whisker this track in a stronger BM 58 two starts back before again finishing well at Wodonga. Likes it soft, always carries weight, and only needs a clear run from the bend to run over them

 

MAIN DANGERS: 4. *Kaipaki; 8. *My Girona; 10. *Dancing With Kitty

 

Likely Tempo: Good

My BET PLAN: CHAIRMAN’S CHOICE to WIN

 

*RACE 5 @ 2.50pm VALE PAUL CARROLL BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1182m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 4. BLUSHING MARY (Tim Donnelly/Ms Kayla Nisbet; 59.5kg & barrier 6) -Another tricky & open battle in similar grade, but very keen at the value aboard this progressive Wagga filly who can improve sharply second-up in a slightly thinner race. Won two straight from the front up to this grade last prep, and just buckled under pressure fresh in superior CL3 company after covering early ground. Much better placed here back on her preferred soft ground, and is clear over the odds

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. **Starliv; 2. **Malabar Jack; 3. *Gironde; 7. *Keep It Down

 

Likely Tempo: Good

My BET PLAN: BLUSHING MARY Each Way & Box Exacta: 1,2,4

 

*RACE 6 @ 3.25pm GAZEBO & SHADE CENTRE CLASS 1 HCP (1005m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION:  7. LIBERALIZED (Ben Brisbourne/Jake Duffy; 57.5kg & barrier 7) –Another contender & underrated 4YO from the Brisbourne stable at Wangaratta presents well over the mark here third-up off a long break. Has only just held his ground in two runs back in Victoria, but much better placed on a bigger track where he can settle and be given time to wind up. Carries his lightest weight in a long time

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. **Wegottem Today Son; 3. *Agent Moon; 4. *Keith; 11. *The Tapster

 

Likely Tempo: Solid to Good

My BET PLAN: LIBERALIZED Each Way & Trifecta: 1,7/1,3,4,7,11/1,3,4,7,11


*RACE 7 @ 4.05pm ACE RADIO 2AY BENCHMARK 58 HCP (905m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 2. MOJO MUSIC (Andrew Dale/Ms Hannah Edgley a2kg; barrier 13 & 62.5kg) Back to the flying short course stacks up nicely again for this good quality Wangaratta three-year-old who can go back-to-back after a dominant display at this track in CL1 grade only 10 days ago. Not quite the good thing he would be on heavy ground, but having only missed a place once from nine starts, he only needs to leave the barrier okay to win. Prefer him when he’s drawn to stay outside horses

 

MAIN DANGERS: 1. **Seventh Seal; 3. *It’s Business Time

 

Likely Tempo: Good

My BET PLAN: MOJO MUSIC to WIN & Quinella: 1 and 2

 

*RACE 8 @ 4.40pm EBA HIRE CLASS 2 HCP (1510m) – Min Weight 55kg; Apprentices Can Claim:

 

TOP SELECTION: 1. LOOSE LOVE (Todd Smart/Billy Owen; 59.5kg & barrier 5) -Fairly open middle distance contest to close a strong meeting. Like this progressive Canberra 3YO who drops back from the tougher Wagga Guineas when not getting much room at a vital stage back in the pack. Had previously swept home for an impressive win at home, and despite the natural weight hike, can produce a superior final 400m in going she relishes

 

MAIN DANGERS: 3. *Sumdeel; 4. *Bonvalante; 6. *Bring A Dame; 7. *Ghosted

 

Likely Tempo: Fair to Solid

My BET PLAN: LOOSE LOVE to WIN

 

**My BEST EARLY  BETS:

 

R4 2. CHAIRMAN’S CHOICE** Expect: $2.85 – $3.10; My Early Rating: $2.10

R7 2. MOJO MUSIC** Expect: $2.15 – $2.40; My Early Rating: $1.85

 

**My BEST EARLY VALUE:

 

R3 5. WAR DOG* Expect: $4.25 – $4.50; My Early Rating: $2.85

R5 4. BLUSHING MARY** Expect: $7.00 – $8.00; My Rating: $4.20

 

**My BEST EARLY EXOTICS:

 

R3: Box Trifecta: 3,5,7,12

 

GOOD LUCK

@NeilEvansmail

 

AIRBORNE

ALBURY

RACING

Next Meeting:

Monday June 20, 2022